In the very first "State of the CIO" special issue, published in 2002, we asked several knowledgeable observers to speculate on the future of the CIO role. Some predicted that the job would split into two distinct types: a strategic CIO who would focus on creating value through technology, and a tactical CIO whose primary goal would be to run an efficient IT shop. The latter type, the experts opined, would ultimately find his job outsourced or absorbed by business units.